18 years hiatus?

Regression is:

Anomaly= a+ b*(months since 1-1-1997)/120 + 
         c*ENSO(lag=3) + d*TSI(ssp-proxy with lag=3) 
         + e*volcanic_areasols(lag=6)

The confidence intervals are the standard CI’s  corrected for auto-correlation. Notice the larger uncertainty in the coefficients for the satellite-data,  caused by higher auto-correlation and bigger swings in the data.

The preRS is similar to the normal RS but penalizes for variates that do not contribute to the regression enough.

Pictures and processing from https://mrooijer.shinyapps.io/graphic/

18-year-uah

18-year-rss

18-year-noaa

18-year-jma

18-year-hc4

18-year-giss

18-year-comb

18-year-c&w

18-year-best

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