# Author Archives: mrooijer

## More GPU adventures with lightGBM

In the meantime the new desktop system has arrived and I installed Tensorflow and Keras for its 1080 Ti. It took me almost a day, because of the slightly different authorization settings it sometimes refused to do things or lost … Continue reading

## Tensorflow on the GTX 1050

I have a Windows 10 laptop with a GEFORCE GTX 1050. On the NVIDIA developers site it is NOT listed as being supported by the CUDA tools, and therefore, I first assumed, I would not be ble to run GPU … Continue reading

## What is a Grnn? Not a neural net!

In a recent article ([1] , [2]) a type of neural net called a Generalized Regression Nueral Net was used. What is it? It turned out to be no more than a simple smoothing algoritm. In the following code my … Continue reading

## Why validation in Principle Components Analysis?

I have written an analysis and replication of the following figure in M&M05: It is known – in some circles- that this figure is misleading. What I have not seen yet is that the figure should have looked like this: … Continue reading

## Where was that “hiatus”?

Some people are still believing that the global temperature somehow has not increased, or increased less than expected in the last 18 years. Nothing is further from the truth: taking the average of the four most commonly used surface temperature … Continue reading

## Takens Theorem

A famous dynamical system is the Lorenz butterfly. It is a curve that moves in time through the (X,Y,Z)-space and that is attracted by a strange attractor. # discrete simulation of the Lorenz system # N is some large number s = … Continue reading

## 18 years hiatus?

Regression is: Anomaly= a+ b*(months since 1-1-1997)/120 + c*ENSO(lag=3) + d*TSI(ssp-proxy with lag=3) + e*volcanic_areasols(lag=6) The confidence intervals are the standard CI’s corrected for auto-correlation. Notice the larger uncertainty in the coefficients for the satellite-data, caused by higher auto-correlation and bigger swings … Continue reading

## Global Temperature Applet

I made an applet in R with Shiny: explore the global temperature trends and the various factors that influence the variations. Click the picture below to go to the applet. This is a work in progress. Comments, questions, etc. can … Continue reading

## It has not stopped

And finally the series until end 2013 from Berkeley:

## GISS Global temperatures: reporting history

GISS Global Sea and Land Surface Temperatures as they were reported in 1981, 1995, 2003 and today. The line are 5 years averages, or, more accurate, 60 months averages. Sources: 1981: Hansen e.a (image copy) 1995: Steve Mcintyre (monthly anomaly) 2003: … Continue reading